Chinese firms have sold about US$13bil of US dollar-denominated notes so far this year in publicly announced deals. — Reuters
Beijing: China’s US$600bil corporate US dollar bond market is showing signs of resurgence, as optimism over artificial intelligence (AI) advances and recent government steps to ease the property crisis help boost confidence.
Chinese firms have sold about US$13bil of US dollar-denominated notes so far this year in publicly announced deals, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
That’s double the year-earlier total and the highest level since 2022.
The pipeline is mostly driven by financial firms and local-government financing vehicles, but some beaten-down companies including those from the property sector are returning to the market after a multi-year absence, building on momentum that emerged in November.
The improving credit-market sentiment comes as tech companies race to develop more AI products and Beijing takes steps to prevent property debt defaults.
Meanwhile, worries that president Donald Trump’s tariff policies could stunt US growth are prompting investors to look at options elsewhere.
Wei Liang Chang, a strategist at DBS Bank Ltd, expects issuance to improve further this year.
“Investors are certainly receptive to new issuance by state-backed names, given the scarcity of Asian USD bonds in the market, and a need for diversification given US policy risks,” he said.
In the secondary market, US dollar notes issued by Chinese investment-grade companies are trading at tight spreads.
In recent weeks, Tencent Holdings Ltd’s notes due 2029 have been hovering around the tightest spread levels in at least five years, Bloomberg-compiled data show. Chinese high-yield US dollar notes on average have the lowest premium relative to its US equivalents in seven months.
“Rough seas make skilled sailors,” said Gary Ng, a senior economist at Natixis, noting that the survivors in China’s US dollar bond market now have lower general credit risks.
As the US market sees volatility due to Trump’s policies, China may offer more stability at this stage, he added.
While most defaulted Chinese developers are still grappling with sluggish property sales and difficult debt restructuring, some property-related companies are taking the plunge into new issuance.
Just one month after the property sector saw its first US dollar bond sale in two years, Beijing Capital Group Co, a state-owned firm that once derived about 40% of its revenue from real estate development, sold its first US dollar bond since 2021, according to Bloomberg-compiled data.
The US$450mil bond was priced last week with book orders 10 times the issuance volume and at a coupon rate 60 basis points lower than the initial price guidance, signalling strong investor demand. — Bloomberg
