Goldman sees gold hitting US$1,800

NEW YORK: Goldman Sachs Group Inc boosted its gold forecast to US$1,800 an ounce as the coronavirus, depressed real rates, and increased focus on the US election continue to drive demand for the metal as a haven.

The bank raised its 12-month projection by US$200, and said “in the event that the virus effect spreads to the second quarter, we could see gold top US$1,800 per ounce already on a three-month basis”. Spot gold, which is up more than 8% this year, traded at US$1,648.50 an ounce on Thursday.

Gold is trading near a seven-year high, supported by an increasing number of coronavirus cases worldwide that threaten to curtail global economic activity. The metal has outperformed traditional haven currencies, including the Japanese yen and Swiss franc as “the haven of last resort”, Goldman analyst Mikhail Sprogis said in a note Wednesday.

The bank expects prices to climb to US$1,700 an ounce in three months, and to US$1,750 in six months. It had previously forecast US$1,600 for both time frames. Goldman also raised its silver forecast. — Bloomberg
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