KUALA LUMPUR: AmInvestment Bank Research expects Sunway Construction Bhd’s (SunCon) results for the nine months of financial year 2019 (FY19) to fall short of market estimates due to the slow progress in the Light Rail Transit 3 (LRT3) project.
“We expect Sunway Construction’s nine-month results, due to be announced on Nov 19, to come at RM90mil–RM95mil at the net level (an earnings decline of 12%–17% year-on-year).
“This will be broadly in line with our expectations at 69%–73% of our full-year forecast but fall short of market expectations at only 63%–67% of full-year consensus estimates, ” it said in a note.
In a recent analyst briefing, George Kent (Malaysia) Bhd guided for work on the LRT3 to only pick up from the final quarter of this year as contract renegotiations and design changes were pending.
About a third of SunCon’s outstanding order book comes from Packages GS07 and GS08 of the LRT3 project.
Meanwhile, AmInvestment also expects weak profits from the construction player’s precast concrete products in the first nine months of 2019 due to unfavourable contract prices entered into amid stiff competition.
The research house has maintained its underweight call and fair value of RM1.20 on the stock based on 10 times FY20 earnings per share.
“We maintain our view that valuations of construction stocks, SunCon included, have run ahead of their fundamentals in the heat of the euphoria sparked by the recent revival of the East Coast Rail Link and Bandar Malaysia projects, ” it added.
AmInvestment expects SunCon to weather the sector downturn better, given its ability to compete under an open bidding system, coupled with the availability of building jobs from its parent and sister companies under the Sunway Group.
“However, valuations are unattractive at 16 to 20 times forward earnings on muted sector prospects, ” it said.