IEA cuts 2019 estimate for oil demand growth on global economy worries


WTI crude fell 44 cents a barrel to settle at $53.79. Brent crude futures for March delivery rose 24 cents to $61.89 a barrel.

LONDON: The outlook for oil demand growth in 2019 has dimmed due to worsening prospects for world trade, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Friday, although stimulus packages and developing countries should boost growth going into 2020.

The Paris-based IEA, which coordinates the energy policies of industrial nations, revised down its 2019 demand growth estimate by 100,000 barrels to 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), but said it would climb to 1.4 million bpd for 2020.

"The main focus is on oil demand as economic sentiment weakens ... The consequences for oil demand are becoming apparent," the IEA said in its monthly oil report.

"The worsening trade outlook (is) a common theme across all regions", it added.

The IEA also attributed lacklustre demand growth in the first half of the year to a slowdown in the petrochemicals industry in Europe, warmer than average weather in the northern hemisphere and stalled U.S. gasoline and diesel demand.

Demand growth was likely to pick up to 1.6 million bpd in the second half of the year on government measures to mitigate the economic slowdown and robust consumption in the non-developed world.

"Stimulus packages are likely to support growth in the short term. In addition, the major central banks have stopped or slowed interest rate increases, which should support growth in 2H19 and 2020," the IEA wrote.

U.S. sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, an output cut pact by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plus its allies, fighting in Libya and attacks on tankers in the Gulf of Oman added only limited uncertainty to supply, the IEA said.

Surging U.S. supply as well as gains from Brazil, Canada and Norway would contribute to an increase in non-OPEC supply of 1.9 million bpd this year and 2.3 million bpd in 2020. - Reuters

Win a prize this Mother's Day by subscribing to our annual plan now! T&C applies.

Monthly Plan

RM13.90/month

Annual Plan

RM12.33/month

Billed as RM148.00/year

1 month

Free Trial

For new subscribers only


Cancel anytime. No ads. Auto-renewal. Unlimited access to the web and app. Personalised features. Members rewards.
Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!
   

Next In Business News

Sarawak Cable finds new hope as alternative party is identified
Main Market-bound Feytech IPO public portion oversubscribed
Bursa lifts Awantec's affected issuer status
SC charges Pixelvest and former Infinity Trustee director with unlicensed capital market offences
Ringgit ends firmer against US dollar
InNature buys 'Burger & Lobster' franchise, eyes expansion into F&B Sector
Bank Negara fines Habib with RM96,250 for AMLA non-compliance
Pharmaniaga says 'stands firm' on financial recovery to exit PN17
Kobay gets UMA query from Bursa Malaysia
LFE gets RM8.27mil piling work

Others Also Read