The town on Mogok is known for its gemstones, particularly rubies and sapphires. - Eleven Media Group/ANN
YANGON: Myanmar’s military regime is at risk of losing economic hubs in the country’s northeast and along the west coast as resistance forces say they are taking over major towns after a China-brokered cease-fire collapsed last month.
An ethnic armed organiSation known as the Arakan Army said Sunday (July 7) it had killed more than 400 junta troops during ground operations to take a seaport town and holiday destination of Thandwe along the Bay of Bengal coast in Rakhine state.
The group also claims to have taken an airport, blocked access to Myanmar military bases and seized camps, weapons and ammunition during the fighting.
Two other armed groups including the The Ta’ang National Liberation Army in northern Shan state, which borders China, Laos and Thailand, said they are moving to wrest control of towns from the junta. The targets are Lashio, the largest town in the north, and Mogok, known for its gemstones, particularly rubies and sapphires.
"If they capture Lashio obviously that would be an explosive development - a major blow for the military - although it comes with a lot of complications,” said Morgan Michaels, a research fellow for South-East Asian politics and foreign policy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
"This is not going to sit well with the Shan population.”
Deputy junta chief Soe Win led a delegation to Qingdao on Sunday where they discussed the security situation with Chinese officials. China brokered a cease-fire in Shan state back in January in a bid to put an end to violence and is the most influential outside player engaging with both sides of the conflict.
Negotiations at the time helped bring an end to fighting in northeast Shan, but the cease-fire was short-lived following the resumption of the so-called "Operation 1027” last month.
Junta spokesman Major General Zaw Min Tun did not answer several calls seeking comment.
Losing these economic hubs would add to the junta’s heavy territorial losses as the civil war in Myanmar intensifies more than three years after a military coup.
The conflict has "accelerated rapidly” in favor of resistance groups with the junta having lost control of townships covering 86% of the country, according to a May report by Special Advisory Council for Myanmar, an independent group of international experts.
Further losses for the military would not only cut the junta off from badly needed revenues, but could also embolden resistance groups in nearby Mandalay Region, where they have reportedly captured junta bases in recent weeks. The region is home to the city of Mandalay, the second biggest in Myanmar and a major junta stronghold.
"Mogok is known for the rubies and obviously there’s huge economic importance there, but it is the key corridor for smuggling weapons from northern Shan state,” said Michaels.
Taking it now could also "be used to put pressure on Mandalay” by diverting the military’s attention from what’s happening elsewhere, he said. - Bloomberg
