RHB Research: 2018 headline inflation to moderate to 1.9%


MRCA President Datuk Seri Garry Chua said Malaysian brands are growing through franchising.

KUALA LUMPUR: RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd expects the country’s headline inflation to moderate to 1.9% for 2018 compared with an increase of 3.7% a year earlier on lower transport costs after the government fixed fuel prices at the current rates.

The Pakatan Harapan-led government has fixed fuel prices of RON 95 at  RM2.20 per litre and diesel at RM 2.18 per litre after winning the 14th General Election on May 9, 2018, whereas the RON97 price is subject to a free float.

In a statement today, economist Vincent Loo Yeong Hong said prices of goods are also likely to remain subdued following the zero-rating of the goods and services tax (GST) from June 1, 2018.

“However, this should reverse with the reintroduction of the sales and services tax (SST) of five to 10%, depending on industries, by September 2018.

“That said, consumers would still enjoy a three-month tax holiday this year that would likely dampen the inflation in 2018,” he said.

Despite expecting a lower headline inflation, Loo believed one last Bank Negara Malaysia overnight policy rate hike (up 25 basis points to 3.5%) is still on the cards this year, in line with the US Federal Reserve raising its policy rate by another 50 basis points amid continued market volatility.

“The anticipated tightening would also be a good move to fend off a potentially weaker ringgit following rising fiscal concerns.

“However, there is a risk that this may be put on hold or delayed, should the country’s economic growth slow more than expected this year,” he said. - Bernama

 

Win a prize this Mother's Day by subscribing to our annual plan now! T&C applies.

Monthly Plan

RM13.90/month

Annual Plan

RM12.33/month

Billed as RM148.00/year

1 month

Free Trial

For new subscribers only


Cancel anytime. No ads. Auto-renewal. Unlimited access to the web and app. Personalised features. Members rewards.
Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel for breaking news alerts and key updates!

Inflation , CPI

   

Next In Business News

Oil rises on US crude storage draw, China imports show year-on-year gain
Over 400 units of Sunway Velocity 3 Homes Sold on Opening Weekend
Bank Negara holds OPR firm at 3%
Country Garden says it aims to pay onshore coupons due Thursday by May 13
China's exports and imports return to growth, signalling demand recovery
Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia explore funds to track Hong Kong stock indices
Oil rises on US crude storage draw, China imports show year-on-year gain
FBM KLCI retreats to 1,600
Volkswagen to establish Malaysia as export hub - Tengku Zafrul
Microsoft's staggering investment a technological shot in the arm for Malaysia

Others Also Read