Malaysian palm oil price falls on high stocks, slow demand


KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian palm oil futures fell for a third straight session on Tuesday as end-stocks remained high and bullish price factors were limited. 
    The February benchmark palm oil contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 0.3 percent to 2,294 ringgit ($522.43) a tonne at the end of the day.
    Despite an earlier recovery in the Chicago and Dalian markets, palm prices fell and trading activity remained slow, said a trader based in Kuala Lumpur.
    "Generally people are still not bullish as the already high stocks are expected to increase further," he said. "The scenario doesn't look bullish at all. The El Nino is already discounted
in and demand is still slow."
    Inventories in the world's no.2 producer rose to a near 15-year high at the end of October due to an unexpected rise in production. 
    Traders forecast end-stocks to rise more in November. 
    The dry weather brought about by El Nino is expected to
reduces palm yields and lower output across Indonesia, the
world's largest palm producer. This could lend support to palm
prices.
    Traded volume stood at 45,132 lots of 25 tonnes each, above
the average 35,000 lots usually traded in a day.
    Palm oil is expected to retest support at 2,291 ringgit per
tonne, with a good chance of breaking below this level and
falling more to the next support at 2,233 ringgit, said Wang
Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy
technicals. 
    In competing vegetable oil markets, the U.S. December soyoil
contract and the January soybean oil contract on
the Dalian Commodity Exchange gained 0.4 and 0.7 percent
respectively.
    
  Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1013 GMT
                                                                    
  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      DEC5    2134    +2.00    2114    2151     986
  MY PALM OIL      JAN6    2225    +0.00    2207    2250   10290
  MY PALM OIL      FEB6    2294    -6.00    2285    2322   21519
  CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN6    4166   +18.00    4122    4182  540782
  CHINA SOYOIL     JAN6    5494   +40.00    5416    5500  456026
  CBOT SOY OIL     DEC5   27.39    +1.70   27.16   27.45    5502
  INDIA PALM OIL   NOV5  388.80    +1.70  387.00  393.40     731
  INDIA SOYOIL     NOV5  600.90    +2.55  599.70  602.10    3160
  NYMEX CRUDE      DEC5   41.67    -0.07   41.53   42.03   27170
                                                                    
  Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
  CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
  Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
  India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
  Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
 
($1 = 4.3910 ringgit)
($1 = 66.0700 Indian rupees)
($1 = 6.3771 Chinese yuan)
- Reuters

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